Next issueIssue 21 · Tue 3 Nov 

Six molecules·76 trial records·5 deals·19 calls on the record

Drug companies are spending billions on psychedelic medicine, mostly in America.

We read the contracts and filings behind every deal to show what's been bought, what's been skipped, and what that leaves open in Europe.

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Six molecules will decide what Europe gets. We follow all of them, every week.

For the 21 million people in the EU living with depression.

The money

$8.2bn

Headline value of the five deals we track. Lilly, AbbVie, Otsuka. None of it European.

Where Europe stands

Twelve assets. Six molecules. Four with no European partner.

Every row from a filing or a registry. Stage is the highest with a European record; US progress is a note, never a position.

MoleculeAssetHolderStage in EuropeEuropean partnerBoughtSource
PsilocybinCOMP360Compass PathwaysPhase 3None disclosed·10-K · 25 Aug
LysergideDT120Definium TherapeuticsPhase 3None disclosed·10-K · 15 Sep
MebufoteninBPL-003Lilly, via AtaiBeckleyPhase 2Lilly$3.8bn · Sep 20268-K · 15 Sep
GH001GH ResearchPhase 2None disclosed·20-F · 25 Aug
HLP003HLP003Helus PharmaPhase 3None disclosed·AIF · 24 Aug
MDMAAmsterdam UMCInvestigator-ledPhase 2n/a·CTIS · 8 Sep
BrenipatideLY3537031LillyPhase 3Lilly·10-Q · 15 Sep

Issue 20·27 October 2026

AtaiBeckley announced the Phase 3 that pays CVR holders. Lilly owes no effort to run it.

On 6 July AtaiBeckley said VLS-01 would go into depression (MDD) in a Phase 3 program. A first dose in it would pay CVR holders up to $1.00. The CVR form attached to the merger agreement signed nine days later gives Lilly no efforts obligation in MDD. The dollar is still reachable through TRD. Call 19 scores a hit.

Read the issue

The call in this issue

By 31 December 2026, no topline result from Elumina, the VLS-01 Phase 2b in treatment-resistant depression (NCT06524830), is published in a Lilly press release, a Lilly SEC filing or a results posting on ClinicalTrials.gov.

Open · resolves 31 Dec 2026 · scored in the first January issue
Falsifier: a topline result from NCT06524830 in a Lilly press release, a Lilly SEC filing, or a results posting on the ClinicalTrials.gov record, dated on or before 31 December 2026

19calls14open3right2wrongThe ledger